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INDIA
SURGES AHEAD NEWS
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October
2003
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India
on Japanese Wheels Ranks 2nd in Asia
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All
those who quibble about India's auto muscle,
get ready for some surprise. It's no wonder
that big wheel Japanese autocos are stepping
on the gas in India. Despite China's top gear
growth last year, India ranks second in the
list of Asian markets where Japanese autocos
are present. Going by production figures, India's
tally of 403,100 units in 2002 - including cars
and commercial vehicles - is second only to
Thailand, which has long been a hub for big
Japanese carmakers like Honda and Toyota. Also,
since the stats don't include motorcycles, where
both the Indian market and the Japanese presence
is significant, India's real muscle in Japan's
Asian sweepstakes is probably bulge bracket.
India is followed by Malaysia (378,080 units)
and Taiwan (355,679 units) on the Asian list
while China, at 315,581 units, comes fifth.
Indonesia comes next at 243,627 units with Philippines
(53,239 units), Pakistan (23,868 units) and
Vietnam (6,250 units) bringing up the rear.
The good news is, in car production, India ranks
a not-too-distant second at 342,496 units while
Malaysia's tally of 363,500 units comes out
tops. Taiwan, at 299,130 units is third, while
China (261,664 units) and Thailand (145,098
units) rank next.
Courtesy:
www.economictimes.com, October 31, 2003
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'If
Your Bets are on Retail, India's the Promised
Land'
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China,
India and Russia are the most preferred destinations
for investment in emerging markets, according
to Mark Mobius, MD, Templeton Asset Management.
Mobius believes the retailing sector in India
is heading for a boom. He would like to invest
in manufacturing companies addressing the large
domestic market in India and China. According
to him, the mortgage industry (like housing
finance) is also likely to boom in India in
the next few years. He is of the view that the
era of multinational companies from the US and
the UK is over. "India and China can produce
world-class multinational companies," he told
ET in an exclusive interview. He said he would
prefer putting his money in Indian companies
investing in China over American companies.
"There is a remarkable change in the attitude
of company managements in India. They are laying
emphasis on profitability. The future of Indian
companies should be global expansion," Mr Mobius
said. Regarding the debate on the growth in
China and India, Mr Mobius is of the view that
the two markets are amazingly similar. He admires
Indian managers and says that by and large Indians
are better qualified than the Chinese. "China
is a homogenous market. India is a place full
of diversity. It is a microcosm of the world.
Indian managers find their way out of several
restrictions imposed by the government. They
can perform well in any other market," he added.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 31, 2003
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Oil
Firms to Invest Rs 25,000 cr a Year in Exploration
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State-run
oil firms will invest Rs 25,000 crore a year
through the 10th Five Year Plan Period (2002-07)
in oil and gas exploration, refinery capacity
expansion and building pipelines, petroleum
secretary B K Chaturvedi said on Wednesday.
"In 9th Five Year Plan, Rs 50,000 crore investment
was made and in the next five years more than
Rs 120,000 crore would be invested," he said
at a CII conference. While refiners Indian Oil,
Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum are
expanding their Panipat, Mumbai and Vizag refineries
respectively, gas firm Gail would be building
a 7000-km national gas pipeline grid. Private
sector firms like Reliance Industries and Cairn
Energy would also be invest close to Rs 4000
crore in bringing gas to shore from their recent
finds in Bay of Bengal.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 30, 2003
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Shipping
Scrips Rise 50% in 3 Months
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The
scrips of the shipping companies like Shipping
Corporation of India, Great Eastern Shipping,
Varun Shipping, Essar Shipping and Mercator
Lines have seen their prices move up over 50
per cent in the past three months. For the first
time in the last five years, the foreign institutional
investors have also picked up minority stake
in the shipping companies. This boom has been
fuelled by the Indian shipping rates which are
an all time high due to tonnage charges hardening
in the international market. The demand for
ships has also been unprecedented following
the huge Chinese demand for raw materials like
steel, iron ore and coal and high import volumes
of grain and other items by the US and the UK.
The SCI scrip has gone up by 81 per cent to
Rs105.70 from a low of Rs 58.35 per cent, while
GE Shipping has appreciated by 50 per cent from
a low of Rs 52 to close at Rs 81 on Wednesday.
Other shipping scrips like Varun Shipping and
Essar Shipping have gained 40 and 71 per cent
respectively. The Baltic dry index, which is
the bench mark for freight rates on vessels
carrying bulk goods, including coal, iron ore
and grain, have quadrupled in the past year
and have jumped 50 per cent in the past three
weeks. The dry bulk earnings of the Capsize
vessels have moved up from $30,091 per day as
on September 5 2003. to a $43,326 as on October
3, 2003. The earning of the Panamax vessels
have gone up to $24,534 per day from $15,943
while the freight rate of Hamax Avg vessels
has increased to $16,075 per day from $13,700.
Courtesy:
The Asian Age, October 30, 2003
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For
Corporate India, the World is Just Not Enough
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The
Indian MNC is here. In case you can't see them
clearly, it is because this number is still
small. There are a few key drivers of this trend.
Most important among these is the changed mindset
of company managements. Indian managers are
thinking global. They think in terms of global
competitiveness, global ranks with respect to
capacity or revenue and global market shares.
It is not just a megalomaniac Reliance or an
aggressive Ranbaxy, even more conservative companies
like M&M or BILT are thinking about global sweepstakes.
Ranbaxy wants to be amongst the top 5 global
generics companies by '12. M&M wants to become
a leading global tractor company by '05, while
BILT calls itself the 'only Indian company amongst
the top 200 paper companies in the world'. About
a quarter of the Indian companies export more
than 20% of their sales. Currently, about 30
companies have exports more than Rs 500 crore,
80 companies have exports more than Rs 200 crore
and about 150 companies have exports more than
Rs 100 crore. It is not just IT, BPO, pharmaceutical
or textile companies that have large export
numbers. Companies making metals, petro-products,
engineering goods, auto, auto ancillaries and
even television sets are now beginning to export
in significant chunks. A move from traded exports
to direct (or closer) physical presence is a
natural progression. Acquisitions will be another
important driver in the evolution of the Indian
MNC.
Indian
companies are cash rich. There are now about
150 companies with sales more than Rs 1,000
crore. About 30 companies have more than $1
bn in annual sales. 43 companies have more than
$1 bn in market cap, while an equal number has
annual cash profit of more than Rs 500 crore.
About 70 are listed abroad. By '04-05, India
may have 5 companies in the Fortune500 list.
Reliance's acquisition of FLAG Telecom is a
good case. In one stroke, Reliance is now on
the global stage in the telecom business. M&M,
which didn't want to acquire Punjab Tractors,
made a bid (ultimately unsuccessful) to acquire
Valtra, a Czech tractor maker. M&M sees itself
as a global major in tractors. It already has
an assembly plant in the US. Metal companies
may also opt for global acquisitions, taking
a leaf out of LN Mittal's book. Non-ferrous
metals major Sterlite wants to list only on
the New York Stock Exchange and be perceived
as a global company. One may also see a big
acquisition from Tisco. It is reportedly looking
at some East European companies closely. Another
interesting case is ICICI Bank. Lalita Gupte,
ICICI Bank deputy managing director, has the
mandate of taking the ICICI brand global. The
new entrants to the ranks of MNCs will differ
in a very important way from the first few Indian
MNCs like Ranbaxy, Essel Propack, Tata Tea,
Asian Paints, Hindustan Inks or the Aditya Birla
Group. The ones just named are isolated cases
with a visionary top management. The new entrants
are the result of a wider process of evolution,
a more natural progression of increasing size
and large-scale change in mindsets.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 27, 2003
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India
is World's Largest Producer of Sponge Iron
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New
Delhi: India, for the first time, has emerged
as the world's largest producer of sponge iron
in 2002, accounting for around 12 per cent of
the global output. In 2001, Mexico occupied
the numero uno position with India a close second.
Mexico has moved down to the third place in
2002 with Iran slipping to the second position,
said ICRA Information, Grading and Research
Service (Ingres) in its industry flash. Ingres
noted that the demand for sponge iron is likely
to remain buoyant due to the expected improvement
in the capacity utilisation of the secondary
steel producers and the shortfall in scrap generation.
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 25, 2003
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There's
more than business on the agenda for the Made
in India show to be held this week in China.
In what would be the biggest pitch made by the
Indian industry in the neighbouring country,
the organisers have marked a food festival to
give the Chinese a taste of Indian flavour along
with a fashion show. The objective is to showcase
the strength of the Indian economy and drive
home the point that there is more to India than
information technology. Industry bigwigs from
banking, steel, automobiles, tourism etc will
participate in the four-day extravaganza. According
to organisers, the idea is to project the changing
face of India and highlight strengths in sectors
other than IT. The Sino-Indian bilateral trade,
which touched $3 billion during the first five
months of the calendar year 2003, is growing
at the rate of 70%. Indian exports are up by
104% with the balance of trade being in India's
favour to the extent of $500 million for the
January-May period. Apart from the objective
of enhancing trade, the show would provide a
platform to explore investment, joint ventures
and strategic partnerships.
Courtesy:
www.economictimes.com, October 25, 2003
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India
Ranks 4th Largest Producer of Fish in World
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India
ranks as the fourth largest producer of fish
in the world with the total foreign earnings
from the fisheries sector reaching a level of
Rs 5,815 crore during 2001-02. The Bihar Chamber
of Commerce said that the country was the second
largest producer of fresh water fish after China.
Recognising the importance of inland fisheries
in the overall production of fish, the centre
had been implementing a scheme "development
of freshwater aquaculture" through the fish
farmers` development agencies (FFDAs).
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 25, 2003
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All
Eyes Now on India as it Rides the Fast Growth
Track
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A
year ago, India was in a national funk over
China having surged ahead economically. Now,
there is a cautious sense that over time, India
could prove the turtle to China 's hare, thanks
to its entrepreneurial spirit, its strong higher
education system and its democracy. India now
has a $500 million trade surplus with China,
and Indian companies increasingly see China
less as a threat than an opportunity. Indian
firms say the advantages of the country's high-skilled,
low-cost work force are outweighing the disadvantages
imposed by its infrastructure and bureaucracy,
and even there see improvement. Ratul Puri,
ED, Moser Baer India, which has become the world's
third largest producer of recordable media like
DVD's and CD's, said his company had recently
built the world's largest production site for
such devices -1.5 million sq.ft - in Noida.
Globally, there is a growing sense of optimism
about India 's economic prospects. And, this
sentiment is based on strong industry and agriculture,
rising domestic and foreign investment and American-style
consumer spending by a growing middle class,
including the people under age 25 who now make
up half the country's population. After growing
just 4.3 per cent last year, India 's economy,
the second fastest growing in the world, after
China , is widely expected to grow close to
7 per cent this year.
The
growth of the past decade has put more money
in the pockets of an expanding middle class,
250 to 300 million strong, and more choices
in front of them. Their appetites are helping
to fuel demand-led growth for the first time
in decades. India is now the world's fastest
growing telecom market, with more than one million
new mobile phone subscriptions sold each month.
Indians are buying about 10,000 motorcycles
a day. Banks are now making $15 billion a year
in home loans, with the lowest interest rates
in decades helping to spur the spending, building
and borrowing. Foreign institutional investors
have poured nearly $5 billion into the Indian
market this year, already more than six times
last year's total. BSE's benchmark sensitive
Index has risen by more than 50 per cent since
April, hitting a three-year high. Foreign exchange
reserves are at a record $90billion. After huffing
and puffing in place for eight or nine years,
"the train has left the station," CK Prahalad,
a professor at the University of Michigan Business
School, said of the Indian economy. India is
also slowly making a name not just for software
exports and service outsourcing, but also as
an exporter of autos, auto parts and motorcycles.
In addition, a good monsoon is putting income
and credit in rural pockets, spurring a run
on consumer goods that will only strengthen
when the harvest comes in later this year. In
some places, the economic transformation is
startling. Look at islands of prosperity like
Gurgaon, or Bangalore, and you see an India
that many Americans - not to speak of Indians
- would not recognise. One sign of change is
the proliferation of malls. India 's first opened
only in 1999, and its second in 2000, according
to Harminder Sahni, a principal in KSA Technopak.
By the end of next year, it will have almost
150. Of course, truisms about what holds India
back have not disappeared. The shortfalls in
infrastructure, particularly power and education,
are staggering. Twenty-six per cent of Indians
still live in poverty, and data suggest inequality
is widening even as the poverty rate falls.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 22, 2003
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GJEPC
Exports Grow by 13.61% from April to Oct 03
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Mumbai:
India's gems and jewellery exports increased
to Rs 22,247.04 crore during April-October 2003,
a rise of 13.61 per cent over Rs 20,471.07 crore
of the previous year, according to the provisional
figures of Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion
Council. Describing it as a remarkable achievement,
Sanjay Kothari, chairman of GJEPC said: "In
spite of many discouraging factors like drop
in exports to a record low of 8 per cent in
April due to SARS and Iraq war and fall in the
rupee against the dollar, our gem and jewellery
exports rallied by 13.61 per cent in dollar
terms and 8.68 per cent in rupee terms." The
main factor behind the great achievement was
the holding of many international exhibitions
in the last six months which generated a lot
of interest in this sector, he said. He cited
the success of India International Jewellery
Show 2003 in July and the recently concluded,
Jewellery Arabia 2003 in Baharin. The gem and
jewellery industry has always been India's leading
revenue earner, accounting for 18 per cent of
the total exports and also contributing 17 per
cent to India's total foreign exchange earnings,
Kothari said.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 22, 2003
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World
Pleasantly Surprised at India
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India
has taken the world by surprise with its new
economic wave. Global enterprises are rediscovering
India's strengths, according to a senior World
Economic Forum (WEF) official. While this perception
has been doing the rounds for some time with
feel-good reports from Wall Street, this is
the first time the global networking body -
which is committed to improving the state of
the world- is open about its bullishness on
India. ''This is the second shock India has
given to the world,'' says Collete Mathur, executive
director of the WEF, explaining that this is
very similar to the big surprise when India
emerged as a knowledge power in the mid-nineties.
''Globally, people are yet to get over that.''
This change is visibly clear in Mathur's body
language in stating that the WEF doesn't have
to apply that extra push in making global companies
participate in the India Economic Summit next
month. ''The days of struggle to bring people
into the country is over. Global enterprises
themselves want to have a relook at India,''
said Mathur. ''India is not poor and a bad student
anymore.''
Year
2003 has seen India emerge as influential for
global companies into outsourcing, high-end
manufacturing, equities and pharma. The WEF
said India has strengthened its position at
Cancun with other countries like Brazil and
China. ''The world has to take into consideration
that days of telling others what to do is over,''
Mathur said.
Courtesy:
The Times of India, October 20, 2003
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Pharma
Exports up 21% in 2003
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Pharmaceutical
exports from India has crossed the five-digit
figure in the financial year 2003, clocking
exports worth Rs 11,925 crore, according to
the directorate-general of commercial intelligence
and statistics (DGCIS). It indicated a growth
of 21% over exports clocked in the previous
year, DGCIS said. The growth rate last year
was 11.2% and the higher growth this year was
due to increased exports to regulated markets
such as the US, Germany, Canada, the UK, Russia,
Mexico and Spain. The US market was the most
preferred destination for Indian pharma exports,
touching Rs 2,023 crore during 2002-03 with
an increase of 25% over the previous year. In
Asia, China is the leading importer of Indian
drugs. It is followed by Vietnam, Japan, Sri
Lanka, Singapore, Thailand, Korea, Bangladesh,
Nepal and Philippines - together accounting
for Rs 100 crore worth of drugs imports from
India, DGCIS added.
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 20, 2003
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Challenging
Task of Holding Huge Forex Reserves
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The
Rapid and unprecedented accumulation of forex
reserves by the Reserve Bank of India in recent
years has inspired much debate on the criteria
to determine the optimum level of reserves to
be held and the cost of holding them. The official
reserves of $90 billion as on October 10 seem
to have crossed the optimal level and Bimal
Jalan, the former RBI Governor, officially acknowledged
it in a recent speech at the 14th National Assembly
of the Forex Association of India. In terms
of the basic indicators of adequacy, the current
level of reserves appears to be well beyond
the conventionally defined limit. In the last
fiscal year, the official reserves were equivalent
to 17 months of the country's imports and around
90 times its short-term external debt. There
is a feeling in some quarters that the reserves
will continue to grow and will reach $100 billion
by the end of this fiscal.
Courtesy:
The Hindu, October 20, 2003
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Ranbaxy
sets out to Conquer Global Markets with OD Drugs
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To
leverage its strength in the global antibiotic
markets, Indian pharmaceutical giant, Ranbaxy
Laboratory Limited is now betting big on the
revolutionary OD (once-a-day dosage) antibiotic
formulations. The company is planning to go
global with this niche segment and has lined
up a strategy for phased launch of these formulations
and future growth. The formulations that are
being considered for launch by Ranbaxy in different
markets across the world are its three blockbuster
OD formulations in the domestic market --- ciprofloxacin
OD (Cifran OD), ofloxacin OD (Zanocin OD) and
clarithromycin OD (Crixan OD). For starters,
Ranbaxy has planned launch of the OD antibiotic
formulations under its own brand in markets
where it already has strong presence like China,
Brazil, Myanmar, and Cambodia.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 17, 2003
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India
not China seen as a Hub for Exports
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India
has been rapidly emerging as an export hub for
the MNCs instead of China, feel experts. They
believe India's positives far outnumber its
ills which is why given an opportunity MNCs
would like to have their own set-up at the exports
processing zones here. To tap this exports potential
of India both government and international bodies
like FEMOZA, the world federation for free zones
with WTO, UNCTAD etc are supporting setting-up
of more Free Trade Zones (FTZs) in India."China
is loosing popularity amongst MNC's who are
now looking at India for setting up their exports
facility," said J Torrent, President FEMOZA.
"The Indian economy is growing at a tremendous
pace and with a huge population of skilled and
cheap labour it has become an ideal destination
to set up FTZs," he added. India's stable democracy
and consistent economic policies have acted
as catalyst in wooing the MNCs to India instead
of China feels Torrent.
India
scores over China in many other ways one of
it is the geographical location and connectivity.
India is strategically located all important
exports centre like the Gulf countries, East
European countries, Asean countries, and the
East African countries are in its proximity."
India edges out China with its large english
speaking population also, this along with infrastructure
development will definitely make India an attractive
destination for investments," said Torrent.
The FTZs offers 100 per cent foreign ownership
apart from provision of no income tax, no corporate
tax and also 100 per cent redemption of profits
to the MNCs.
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 16, 2003
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India
is the world's fourth largest producer of natural
rubber. The Rs 12,000-crore Indian Rubber Industry
provides direct employment to around 80,000
people, and is a source of indirect employment
to nearly three lakh. There are about 6,000
manufacturing units, which produce over 36,000
domestic and industrial end products. The industry
also exports goods worth Rs 15,000 crore per
year to 80 countries, including the USA and
Germany. "Rubber and its products have made
a deep impact on our lives. We are the fourth
largest consumers of rubber products in the
world. Unlike other major rubber producing countries,
where the market is export-oriented, India,
along with China and Brazil, consumes its entire
domestic output for industrial purposes," says
an industry expert. Besides the tyre industry,
jobs are also available with various rubber-processing
units. If we include small scale as well as
unorganised sectors, the turnover of the industry
crosses Rs 30,000 crore, with lakhs of people
employed in it. Research and development is
coming up as a major thrust area for rubber
technologists as polymer substances are increasingly
being used for a host of products like spacecraft,
optical fibres, textiles and household utilities.
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 15, 2003
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Motown
Rejoices a September Well Run
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Propelled
by Maruti, Hyundai and Tata Motors, car sales
surged by 12.8% in September '03. Car sales
went up for the sixth consecutive month to 56,764
units over 50,292 units in September '02, data
released today by the Society of Indian Automobile
Manufacturers (SIAM) showed. Sales during April-September
'03 grew by a robust 23.7% to 3.19 lakh units
from 2.58 lakh cars during the same period last
year. Car sales are driving northward on the
back of an 8% excise duty reduction in the budget
and low-interest loans coupled with a rising
disposable income. Bus and truck sales posted
a whopping 44.8% rise in September to 23,537
units as both medium and heavy and light commercial
vehicles witnessed higher demand.
Sales
of these two during the first half of this fiscal
jumped by 32% to 1.09 lakh units, primarily
due to satisfactory work on the Golden Quadrilateral
highway project, the Prime Minister's rural
road network, and a spurt in the infrastructure
sector. The sale of two-wheelers grew by 15.1%
in September to 4.81 lakh units as motorcycles
and scooters recorded higher sales. However,
mopeds continued to ride into negative territory.
Cumulative two-wheeler sales stood higher by
7% at 25.44 lakh units. Scooters and scooterettees,
which are witnessing a renewed customer interest,
clocked a 13.8% growth in September to 83,349
units. The sale of motorcycles and step-thrus
went up by 17.6% to 3.69 lakh units but that
of mopeds dived 7% to 28,167 units during the
review month.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 14, 2003
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Indian
Telecom Growth Story Gets Noticed
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Far
away from the policy and regulatory turmoil
in India, the country is increasingly finding
mention as a leading telecommunications market
in the world. According to statistics released
here by the United Nations body, the International
Telecommunications Union (ITU), the developing
world now accounts for 500 million or 46 per
cent of all mobile users in the world. Within
this, the Indian cellular telephony market currently
is showing a high growth rate that is second
only to the dominant player, China. While China
leads by adding close to 5 million cellular
phones every month, India comes next with close
to 1.9 million cellphone additions and is followed
by Russia at 1.6 million new additions. Africa
is also recording huge growth. For India, the
overall increase in phones - both fixed and
mobile - now means that every one in two persons
has access to some sort of phone service. The
Indian growth story is getting mentioned repeatedly
here at the ITU Telecom World 2003, the quadrennial
event that showcases the best of the global
telecommunications industry. The ongoing show
is quite smaller than the one in 1999, a reflection
of the slowdown that has plagued the telecom
industry. ITU secretary general Yoshio Utsumi
laid emphasis on the fact that despite troubles,
massive growth and expansion has been recorded
in the past four years. As per the statistics,
around 2.5 billion phone lines have been installed
all over the world. Of this, more than 1.5 billion
phone lines were added over the last four years.
That is more lines in four years than what was
done in the previous 100 years.
Fixed
line phone networks grew by 7.5 per cent per
year worldwide (total 1.2 billion), while cellular
phone networks grew by 28.3 per cent per year
(total 1.33 billion).
Courtesy:
Hindustan Times, October 13, 2003
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Gail
to Acquire Stakes in Three Egyptian Cos
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Mumbai:
Egypt's gas pipeline network will soon have
an Indian touch to it. State-owned Gas Authority
of India Ltd (Gail) has decided to make its
mark abroad by acquiring minority stakes in
Egyptian gas distribution companies. Sources
in Gail said the company has signed memoranda
of understanding (MoUs) with Fiyum Gas, Nat
Gas and Royal Dutch Shell-promoted CNG Gas to
acquire stakes in the three companies. The investment
in the three companies will be announced shortly,
the sources added. While Gail will acquire 19
per cent of CNG Gas, it has decided to buy 10
per cent in Fiyum gas. The equity ownership
in Nat Gas will be decided shortly, the sources
said. The three companies are gas distribution
companies much like Indraprastha Gas in Delhi
and Mahanagar Gas in Mumbai.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 10, 2003
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Indian
Cos Fight for Nepal's Mobile Market
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Four
Indian companies and their Nepalese partners
are in the fray for a share in Nepal's mobile
telephone market but the winner seems to be
dragging its feet after hitting the jackpot.
India's Modi Corp group, a holding company of
India's B K Modi Group, in partnership with
Nepal's leading business house, the Khetan group
became the first private player to provide mobile
telephone services in Nepal after the government
decided to liberalise its economic policy and
open several sectors in the 1990s. In March
2000, having decided to invite private players,
the government invited tenders. While 21 companies
bought the documents, ranging from firms as
diverse as a South African firm and a Lebanese
organisation, eight submitted the completed
applications by June 2000. They were dominated
by Indian bidders who formed half the number.
Courtesy:
The Statesman, October 10, 2003
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Look
East: Delhi, Bangkok Ink Trade Pact
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Among
the many firsts that Prime Minister Atal Bihari
Vajpayee's visit here is registering, India
and Thailand on Thursday inked a Framework Agreement
for establishing a bilateral Free Trade Area
(FTA). The first such bilateral agreement for
India outside South Asia, this came a day after
India signed a similar agreement with the ASEAN
in Bali. Prime Minister Vajpayee has sought
to hold up the India-Thailand FTA as a model
of trade cooperation. South Asia would do well
to follow. On the Indo-Thai agreement, Mr Vajpayee
said: "I am sure that FTA will provide a new
stimulus to our trade and economic cooperation.
Prepared after six meetings of a joint negotiating
group, the India-Thailand Framework Agreement
provides for an FTA in goods, to commence from
2010, and an FTA in services and investment
from 2006. The agreement was signed by Commerce
and Industry Minister Arun Jaitley and his Thai
counterpart Adisai Bhodharamik. From Bali to
Bangkok, India has made it apparent that economic
diplomacy is the cornerstone of its Look East
policy. In his meeting with Thai Prime Minister
Thaksin Shinawatra, both during the restricted
one-on-one and during delegation level talks,
Mr Vajpayee underscored India's desire to engage
with Thailand in a comprehensive manner and
to double the existing trade exchange of US$
1 billion to US$ 2 billion by 2005.
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 10, 2003
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No
Kidding, by '50 India may be No 3 Economy
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In
less than 50 years from now India may be the
third largest economy in the world. In fact,
the new world order in the middle of the 21st
century could end up having China at the top,
the US in silver position with India a probable
bronze medallist. The new emerging kids from
the developing block, Brazil, Russia, India
and China or the 'BRICs' as they are being termed
look set to be dictators on the world scene.
Their combined $ GDP could be higher than the
G6 in less than 40 years (at present they are
worth less than 15%). According to a recent
Global Economics paper by Goldman Sachs, by
'25 the BRICs could account for half the size
of the G6 and by '39 they could collectively
be larger than the G6. Goldman Sachs has made
these projections using latest demographic projections
and a model of capital accumulation and productivity
growth, income per capita and currency movements
in these economies till '50.
According
to its research, two-thirds of the dollar GDP
from the BRICs should come from higher real
growth, with the balance through currency appreciation.
The BRICs real exchange rates could appreciate
by up to 300% over the next 50 years (an average
of 2.5% a year). India is identified as the
country with the potential to show the fastest
growth over the next 30-50 years. Growth could
be higher than 5% over the next 30 years and
close to 5% as late as '50 if development proceeds
on track (note, that is lower than the 8% GDP
growth target that the 10th Plan envisages).
India's economy according to the research could
be larger than Japan's by '32. Yet despite the
fast growth and blockbuster rankings individuals
in BRICs are still likely to be poorer on an
average compared to their peers in the G6 economies
by '50.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 10, 2003
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After
Software, India Aims to Emerge as Hardware Hub
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New
Delhi: As India's dollar-spinning software
sector continues to hog the international spotlight,
the nimble-footed domestic IT hardware industry
is striving to emerge slowly but steadily as
a global manufacturing hub. Industry observers
say the Indian electronics hardware industry
has the potential to grow 12 times and develop
into a $70 billion market by 2010, provided
the government and companies take important
actions to develop the sector. "If the number
of personal computers sold last year is any
indication of the size of the market, the industry
clocked 2.3 million units in the year ended
March 31, 2003, registering a growth of 37 per
cent," And the expected growth if undiminished
and we would be growing, if not 37 per cent,
then at least by 30 per cent in the next couple
of years. The profile of the local hardware
companies have undergone major changes in recent
years with most of the players in the sector
now focusing on research and development of
new products and in areas of chip designing.
In next few years India will make its mark in
the hardware sector.
Courtesy:
The Economic Times, October 09, 2003
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Monsoon
Bonanza: Govt. Expects 8% Growth
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New
Delhi: The Indian economy, the third largest
in Asia, is expected to notch up a growth rate
of over 6 per cent -- even touch 8 per cent
-- in 2003-04 on the back of good rains and
the fiscal deficit could be reigned in below
the targeted 5.6 per cent of gross domestic
product, the government said on Wednesday. "Former
RBI Governor (Bimal Jalan) had forecast GDP
growth significantly over 6.0 per cent. I repeat,
it will be over 6.0 per cent. With good monsoon,
I will not be surprised if it is pushed beyond
7.0 per cent and even touch 8.0 per cent," chief
economic advisor Ashok Lahiri said.
He
said the government's average cost of borrowing
in the year to March 2004 was less than 7 per
cent. In the first quarter, the Central Statistical
Organisation (CSO) estimated a GDP growth of
5.7 per cent without factoring the monsoon.
With a good monsoon, the kharif crop was buoyant
and rabi is also expected to do well, going
by the meteorological department's forecast
of a prolonged winter. "The revenues are picking
up, especially since September, and would pick
up in the second half," Lahiri said. The government
expenditure too was under control after the
introduction of the cash management system of
various ministries, he said. The government
has also apportioned Rs 28,000 crore for food
subsidies. "It was expected to remain within
target," Swarup said, adding the larger procurement
of foodgrain due to bumper crop would not impact
subsidy bill this fiscal. He said the debt swap
scheme for states would not result in higher
fiscal deficit. On the contrary, it helped the
Centre to check fiscal deficit as government
will be borrowing less.
Courtesy:
www.economictimes.com, October 09, 2003
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India
Likely to Achieve 7% Teledensity by December
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Riding
on a high wave of WLL and cellular connections,
India is likely to have a teledensity of 7 per
cent by December 2003, a year in advance of
the New Telecom Policy's 2005 target. This achievement
is the likely outcome of growing number of new
cellular, WLL as well as land line connections,
telecom regulator TRAI said on Tuesday. One
crore new telephone connections were added over
April-September 2003 in the country, of which
10.20 million were combined cellular and WLL
(M) additions. "This is around five times the
additions of 2.14 million during the corresponding
period last year," a TRAI statement said. But
not all the growing numbers came from mobile
connections. Basic service operators also roped
in 0.02 million new subscribers during the first
six months of this fiscal. "This high growth
trend is likely to continue," SC Khanna, Chairman
of the Association of Basic Telecom Operators
said on Tuesday." This is reflected in the additions
during September 2003 alone, when around 0.9
million cellular subscribers and 0.82 million
WLL (M) subscribers were added," he said. In
August, 1.09 million cellular subscribers and
0.68 WLL (M) users were added to the nation's
kitty. With this, the combined base of cellular
subscribers and WLL(M) subscribers have exceeded
23 millions, though the figures of BSNL and
MTNL for September are still awaited. The ABTO
also claimed on Tuesday that private basic service
operators recorded "an impressive 9.25 lakh
increase in subscribers, of which 7 lakh are
WLL connections by September 30 this year. Now,
if India continues to grow at this rate and
adds two million connections a month, India
will have a teledensity of 7 per cent by the
year end," Mr Khanna said.
Courtesy:
The Pioneer, October 08, 2003
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Robust
Growth in Cement Demand Forecast - Study
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Mumbai,
October 06: The demand growth of the cement
industry over the next five years will be robust
enough to absorb 40 million tonnes of greenfield
capacity, according to CRIS INFAC's (a subsidiary
of CRISIL) new report on the long term outlook
for the industry. This capacity addition will
translate into an investment of nearly Rs. 13,200
crores and will lead the upturn in capital investments.
The increasing cement intensity of GDP, due
to investments in housing and roads, will drive
consumption to cross 165 million tonnes in 2007-08,
from 107 million tonnes in 2002-03. This growth
in demand will support capacity additions of
up to 50 million tonnes, while maintaining aggregate
capacity utilisation at nearly 85 per cent in
2007-08. According to CRIS-INFAC, 85 per cent
capacity utilisation is essential for ensuring
returns higher than the weighted average cost
of capital for the cement industry. With Grasim
having gained control of L&T's cement division,
the share of the two top groups has increased
considerably to 42 per cent. The report says
that these two groups will remain way ahead
of the other cement players in terms of market
share.
Courtesy:
The Hindu, October 07, 2003
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India
to Diversify Exports to China
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With
China emerging as a top export destination,
India is looking at ways to provide more depth
and variety to the bilateral trade basket by
encouraging auto components, information technology,
health care, textiles and tourism sectors to
tap the booming Chinese market. According to
latest Chinese customs statistics, India-China
bilateral trade zoomed to $4.087 billion during
the first seven months of this year, registering
an impressive growth of 62 per cent over the
same period of last year. India's exports to
China during January-July amounted to $2.331
billion, up 101 per cent. Mr Bahl said while
expressing confidence that the targeted $10
billion in bilateral trade was also "attainable."
The CII, which has opened its East Asia office
in east.
Courtesy:
The Statesman, October 06, 2003
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Foreign
Investors Pouring Money Into India
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Mumbai,
October 5: It's 'destination India' for
foreign funds. The big bulls are stepping up
their Indian operations. For the first time
in a decade, investments by foreign institutional
investors (FIIs) in the local markets - both
equity and debt - during a calendar year has
crossed $4 billion mark on Thursday. The investment
of $4.021 billion - or Rs 18,865.20 crore -
made by FIIs in the current calendar of 2003
is the highest since they were permitted to
invest in Indian equities in 1993. The previous
record high by FIIs was in 2001 when they invested
$2.84 billion (Rs 13,292.70 crore).
The
inflow in the month of September is almost equivalent
to the entire inflow in 2002. This record investment
is the main reason for the 1,600-point jump
in Sensex since April this year. "India is one
of the major investment destinations of foreign
funds in Asia this year," said a fund manager.
Reasons for the robust FII inflows: Higher growth
in the economy in fiscal 2003-04 (predicted
around 6.5 to seven per cent), solid corporate
earnings posted by most companies in the first
quarter, appreciating rupee and higher than
average rainfall in almost all the states. According
to data issued by the government, India's economy
surged 5.7% in the first quarter of FY 2003-04
from a year earlier, in line with expectations,
putting the country on track for its strongest
full-year growth in almost three years. The
agriculture-driven Indian economy is widely
forecast to grow by more than 6-6.5% in the
fiscal year, helped by a good monsoon. Growth
had shrunk last year to 4.3% from 5.6% the preceding
year because of a severe drought.
Courtesy:
The Indian Express, October 06, 2003
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Powerpack:
How to be Global No 1
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We
cheer Indian companies that hold their own against
multinational corporations. But, to the best
of my knowledge, only one Indian company is
No 1 in the world in its field. It is not Reliance,
nor any Tata or Birla company. I wonder how
many readers can guess its name: Essel Propack.
It belongs to Subhash Chandra. He is famous
as the owner of Zee TV, but despite its prominence
and glamour, Zee is a global pygmy. By contrast,
Essel Propack is world No 1 in laminated tubes,
used to package toothpaste, cosmetics, | |